Risk/reward planner
See what a trade has to pay before you take it — and the win rate your plan silently assumes.
1 : 2.40
Long
29.4%
+10.6 pts
+0.36R
≈ +36% of risk capital
Positive expectancy
The Practice Arena opens this exact setup on live prices with a virtual $10,000 account — same coin, same direction, same stop, same target. Every position you close is written into your journal, so the number you learn from is your own.
carries entry, stop and targetHow to read the numbers
Risk:Reward compares the distance to your stop against the distance to your target. Break-even win rate = risk ÷ (risk + reward) — the accuracy your plan needs just to tread water, before fees. Expectancy combines your estimated win rate with the ratio: (win% × reward) − (loss% × risk), expressed in R — a +0.36R expectancy means that over many trades, each 1R you risk returns 0.36R on average.
| Ratio | Break-even win rate | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| 1 : 1 | 50% | You must be right more often than wrong |
| 1 : 2 | 33.4% | Right 1 time in 3 is enough |
| 1 : 3 | 25% | Right 1 time in 4 is enough |
| 2 : 1 | 66.7% | You need elite accuracy — most plans like this fail |
Common mistakes
Trusting an estimated win rate you haven't measured. Until you have 50+ journaled trades, treat your win rate estimate as fiction and demand at least 1:2. Moving the target closer after entry — that quietly turns a 1:3 plan into 1:1 with a 1:3 win rate. Ignoring fees and slippage, which raise every break-even number, especially on lower timeframes.